爱华网掸邦先驱论坛杂志每周选摘
Weekly Diary, No.399
(30 May – 13 June 2010) Monday, 14 June 2010 14:48
国际关系
2010年5月30日
卡伦代表奈达妙开始他的欧洲3国和平战略之旅。在他的行程中预定将与德国总理默克尔会晤。 （伊洛瓦底）
2010年5月30日
东南亚运动会联合会理事会同意授予缅甸主办2013年第27届东南亚运动会 申请（NLOM）
2010年6月3日
美国参议员韦布推迟访问缅甸。由于有报道说缅甸正在与朝鲜结合发展核计划。 “这将是不明智的和可能适得其反，”韦布说。
2010年6月4-6日
缅甸国防部副部长埃敏中将显眼的缺席新加坡举行的亚太安全首脑会议。他没有参加这次会议，避免对缅甸的核计划提出质疑。只有驻新加坡大使温敏参加。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月7日
英国授奖予缅甸纪录片摄影师詹姆斯麦凯独立的缅甸政治新闻摄影范畴。
2010年6月8日
参议员韦布建议美国国务卿希拉里克林顿任命驻泰国大使埃里克约翰对来处理缅甸事务。埃里克约翰有与北朝鲜打交道的长期经验。
2010年6月9日
参议员吉姆韦布说，缅甸将于10月10日选举。 （法新社）
2010年6月10日
联合国办公厅主任维贾伊南比亚尔抵达新加坡，他的亚洲之行，讨论缅甸局势。他先前访问了印度。他明天将前往北京。 （联合国新闻中心）
泰缅关系
2010年6月6日
总理阿披实无限期延长国家紧急状态。 （通讯社）
2010年6月10日
泰国和缅甸当局在拉廊会议同意设立国籍问题核查中心。颁发临时护照。该中心将在7月至10月。它可能导致下一步在Maesod和Maesai设立其他中心。
政治/内部缅甸
2010年5月29日
缅甸选举委员会规定政党成员数量下限。选举前90天内，政党必须递交成员名单，省邦一级政党成员必须500人以上，国家级别1000名以上，否则面临取消和废止。（新华社/马新社）
2010年5月31日
军政府与克钦独立军政府今天会议。不讨论改编方案，根据克钦独立组织的来源。军政府代表出席为梭温少将，吴昂当，登盛。克钦独立军方面宗卡主席，拉哈和甘茂。
2010年5月31日
军政府下令在克钦邦普查人口。克钦发展党一直没有获准登记参选。
2010年6月2日
克钦邦巩固发展党主席、克钦文学与文化委员会主席杜瓦玛汀在巩固发展党年度会议上说，“克钦邦进步党（前克钦独立组织副主席图佳博士领导）和克钦独立组织是一样的。”选举委员会尚未批准克钦邦进步党，北掸邦进步党，克钦邦联合民主党登记注册。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月3日
新都尼必都政府各部自5月中旬一直面临电力短缺。该问题已被归咎于天然气管道泄漏，中国产发电机损坏，水力不足。 （Mizzima）
2010年6月4日
缅甸政党提出
大选中参选人对公众利益不重视。
原因：
－20年差距
－人们恐惧
－人们被恐吓
－因此，各方都寻获民众支持有困难：
需要说太多，以鼓励他们重新参与政治
需要做说服他们捍卫自身利益
根据联邦选举委员会（UEC）5月29日声公告：政党允许成立90天内不能产生规定的会员数量，将被撤销登记。 （伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月7日
仰光联邦巩固发展协会在联邦巩固发展党批准成立后，撤除原有标志。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月8日
联盟民主党（UDP），和平多样性党（PDP）的领导人说，他们联络新闻检查和登记处。批准设立一个网站的登记，1党组织必须支付60万缅币（600美元）。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月8日
总理登盛的联邦巩固与发展党（USDP）获得联盟选举委员会批准。
2010年6月11日
昂山素季与她的律师吴年温会晤说：“正如人有投票权，他们也有权利不投票。”她没有作出任何对指控的军政府核计划，因为“发表评论没有足够的资料。“（伊洛瓦底江）
2010年6月3日
注册批准后一周，‘掸邦民族民主党’（SNDP）开设仰光和皎梅办公机构。其他分支机构将开放以后，‘掸邦论坛’办事处在南坎和木姐6月9-10日分别开幕
2010年6月6日
缅甸联邦选举委员会UEC宣布
总共32个申请成立政党参加选举
批准注册28个
其中有8个来自掸邦的各方：
克伦民族党
果敢民主团结党
因民族发展党
拉祜族民族发展党
帕乌民族组织
掸邦各民族民主党
塔昂（巴朗）民族党
佤民族团结党
佤民主党最后批准
温家宝访问
掸族/掸邦
2010年5月24日
上一周耶敏中将与佤联军171军区领导人会议。询问佤方战争的准备。局势开始紧张以来，有8个在佤地区工作的国际援助机构。世界粮食计划署（WFP）不在其中。
2010年6月3日
注册批准后一周，掸邦民族民主党（SNDP）开设仰光和皎梅办公机构。其他分支机构将开放以后，（掸邦论坛）办事处在南坎和木姐6月9-10日分别开幕
2010年6月10日
掸邦民族民主党（SNDP）有320名成员在木姐和南坎乡镇。党必须至少1000名成员，否则将面临8月24日至25日注销登记。
2010年6月7日
阿佤官员说，35个教育工作者由于发生边境危机离开版桑。6月3日已经返回。选举产生的但是还没有卫生工作者离开后没有返回，健康中心无人看顾。
经济/商业
2010年5月31日
军政府已批准4商家成立私人银行
迪扎－绿色亚洲银行
卓卓－伊洛瓦底银行
奈昂－阿马拉银行
捷凯－缅甸前导银行
另外两名申请人未批准：通明能和博士宰桑通。 （伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月1日
缅甸每周邮报说，军政府2号人物貌埃亲信昂温高，已成立国内航空因丽航空公司与军政府1号人物丹瑞亲信迪扎的蒲甘航空竞争。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月2日
吴巴莱领导的1962年以来第一个自由工会批准成立
2010年6月3日
缅甸军队企业‘联邦经济控股集团’（UMEHL）4月1日接管了国家五星轮船公司，总数1,227职工中两个月内至少有550名船员提交辞呈，以寻求更好的工资。海员拒绝接受新的薪水待遇每月$750 - $ 5,000。
2010年6月3日
火灾摧毁了蒙育瓦市场。
2010年6月4日
5座国有建筑被出售给私人投资者包括：
国家图书馆 一亿缅币（约10万美元）
军队电视泰MRTV 1.3亿缅币
耶徳纳本剧院9.2亿缅币
2010年6月5日
悉尼麦克里大学肖恩特内尔研究报告说缅甸的人均国内生产总值最低者之一，是下降的。基本要素和经济健康发展的必要条件仍然缺位：
缺乏对私人财产的保护
缺乏商业自由度
功能性基础设施缺乏
政府非理性和不一致决策
2010年6月6日
美国和平研究所的智囊团的莱克斯里费尔提出报告“关于2010年缅甸大选前夕的缅甸经济”
由军政权公布的经济数据大多是靠不住的，或只是一个虚构
叛乱和制裁措施是不是为缅甸的经济表现不佳的主要原因
错误政策，通过教育和卫生部门的非凡忽视加剧，经济基础丧失基本的持续改善，将近30％的国家预算分配到军队
2010年6月8日
由于警方称，4月15日在仰光爆炸袭击者使用了移动电话，引发一系列爆炸案，缅甸SIM卡的销售下降了近50
人权
2010年5月31日
缅甸作家和新闻工作者协会发表声明，谴责明星特特莫乌对‘7天新闻’杂志记者诶督善，行为粗暴。
2010年6月2日
缅甸一个男孩子因为拒绝参军。5月16日在勃固省比翁答扎区遭受军人枪杀和刀刺死亡。
2010年6月4日
总部设在伦敦国际战略研究所在2007年报告，缅甸军政府国家预算的0.4％用于医疗保健和0.5％用于教育的支出，有关军方预算支出近30％。（伊洛瓦底）
2010年6月8日
斯洛伐克成为第4个政府要求对缅甸违反人道罪成立的联合国人权委员会调查。其他包括澳大利亚，捷克和英国。美国还考虑加入。2004年曾经成立一个调查委员会调查苏丹达尔富尔人道罪的指控。（Mizzima）
战争
2010年6月2日
国际核专家杰夫福登评价，叛逃者宰登文提供的关键文件和其他信息，显示出缅甸军政府正在为实现其核目标努力。 （半岛电视台）
2010年6月4日
缅甸民主之声发布‘缅甸的核计划’一个纪录片，并通过半岛电视台播出。 （半岛电视台）
2010年6月4日
4月一次会议上上周增加国防预算比去年明显。这笔款项是无法使用。没有任何重大的军事改组。
2010年6月7日
国际原子能总署（IAEA）负责人天野之弥说，他在维也纳的机构可能会要求缅甸军政府对发展核计划提出解释报告“进行必要的澄清。”（路透社）
2010年6月9日
克伦民主佛教军五旅说，缅军8旅司令丹梭准将已经通知接受改编新的截止日期为8月8日。他还警告说，到时缅军将会使用武力，如果克伦民主佛教军拒绝接受改编。
2010年6月9日
继宰登文叛逃，陆军部已发出指示，收集所有泄漏的文件和照片。宰登文据说为登铁少将，国防工业部副部长密切个人关系。
最高领导人现在更多担心军队内部的团结高于外界问题。
过去数年军政府叛逃多达200名人员。
主要因素：
－缺乏高层领导关系
－僵化的官僚体制
－工资低
2010年6月9日深受士兵欢迎流行录像：
－丹瑞女儿的钻石之夜世纪婚礼
－对2009年的地下隧道建设
－关于核计划
2010年6月11日
外交部否认正在发展核武器计划。“由逃兵，罪犯，持不同政见者提供的信息不准确，不公平，不可靠的资料。”
讣告
2010年5月31日
1948年以来坚持武装斗争的克伦尼（克雅）民族进步党昂丹来将军仰光昂去世时81岁。
Weekly Diary, No.399 (30 May – 13 June2010)
Monday, 14 June 201014:48
The World
2 June 2010
8 months after he became prime minister, Yukio Hatoyama quitsfollowing his failure to move the American base at Okinawa.(Agencies)
4 June 2010
Naoto Kan becomes Japan’s newest Prime Minister. (Agencies)
10 June 2010
Inter ethnic violence breaks out in Kyrgyzstan, which becameindependent in 1991. (Agencies)
International Relations
30 May 2010
Karen representative Nerdah Mya leaves for a 3-nation tour carryingdetails of a peace strategy. On his itinerary is a meeting withGerman Chancellor Angela Merkel. (Irrawaddy)
30 May 2010
Southeast Asian Games Federation Council agrees to award Burma theright to host 27th SEA Games 2013 3 June 2010
US Senator Jim Webb postpones his visit to Burma due to reportsthat Burma is developing a nuclear programme in conjunction withNorth Korea. “It would be unwise and potentiallycounterproductive,” he says. (DVB)
4-6 June 2010
Deputy Defense Minister Aye Myint conspicuously absent from theAsia-Pacific security summit held Singapore. Observers say he mayhave stayed away from the meeting to avoid being questioned aboutBurma’s nuclear program. Only the ambassador to Singapore Win Myintis present. (Irrawaddy)
7 June 2010
British documentary photographer James Mackay awarded for twoseparate pieces of work about Burma in the PoliticalPhotojournalism Category. (PX 3 press release)
8 June 2010
In a letter to US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator JimWebb recommends US ambassador to Thailand Eric John who has longexperience with North Korea, to deal with Burma. (DVB)
9 June 2010
Senator Jim Webb says he hears Burma will hold elections on 10October. (AFP)
10 June 2010
Vijay Nambiar, UN Chef de Cabinet, arrives in Singapore today onhis Asian tour to discuss situation in Burma. His previous visitwas with India. He will be traveling to Beijing tomorrow. (UN NewsCenter)
Thai-Burma Relations
6 June 2010
PM Abhisit Vejjajiva extends indefinite state of emergency.(Agencies)
10 June 2010
Thai and Burmese authorities meeting in Ranong agree to set upnationality verification centers and issue temporary passports inRanong. The center will open in July until October. It can lead toother centers in Maesod and Maesai. (HRDF)
Politics/ Inside Burma
29 May 2010
Election Commission says parties that fail to list their prescribednumber of members, 500 for regional-state level parties and 1,000for national parties, within 90 days before the election, will bederegistered and abolished. (Xinhua/ Bernama)
31 May 2010
KIO-Junta meeting today does not discuss BGF program, according toKIO sources. It is attended by Maj Gen Soe Win, Aung Thaung andThein Sein on the junta’s side and Zawng Hra, Laja and GunMaw onthe Kachin side. (KNG)
31 May 2010
Junta orders a census in Kachin State. No Kachin Party has beenapproved for contesting the polls yet. (KNG)
2 June 2010
Duwa Mading Zung Ting, head of USDA Kachin State and Chairman ofKachin Literature and Culture Committee, at the USDA annualmeeting, says “Kachin State Progress Party (led by former KIOleader Tu Ja) and KIO are the same.” The Election Commission hasyet to certify the KSPP, Shan State North Progress Party and theUnited Democratic Party Kachin State. (Irrawaddy)
4 June 2010
Public interest in polls is dimming according to political parties.Reasons:
20 year gap
People too scared
People being intimidated
As a result, the parties are finding difficulties in gettingpopular support:
Need to say too much to encourage them to re-engage inpolitics
Need to do a lot of persuading to hold their interest
According to statement by the Union Elections Commission (UEC)on 29 May, parties that cannot produce prescribed number ofmembership within 90 days from the date they have receivedpermission to form a political party will be deregistered.(Irrawaddy)
7 June 2010
The USDA in Rangoon is pulling down its signs at its branch officesfollowing approval by the UEC of the USDP. (Irrawaddy)
8 June 2010
Leaders of the Union Democratic Party (UDP) and Peace and DiversityParty (PDP) say they will contact the Press Scrutiny andRegistration Division for approval to set up a website. To registerit, a party must pay K 600,000 ($ 600). (Irrawaddy)
8 June 2010
PM Thein Sein’s Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP)approved by Union Elections Commission. (NLOM)
11 June 2010
Aung San Suu Kyi, during her meeting with her lawyer Nyan Win, says“just as the people have the right to vote, they also have theright not to vote.” She does not make any comment on the allegednuclear program “as there is not enough information available.”(Irrawaddy)
Wen Jiabao’s visit
3 June 2010
Wen meets Than Shwe and his counterpart Thein Sein. The twosides sign 15 cooperation agreements including the oil-gaspipelines project. (DVB) Wen brings up both Burma’s announcedelection and ethnic issues surrounding the Sino-Burma’s border.There is no public statement on this by China, unlike the time inDecember when Vice President Xi Jinping visited Burma.(Irrawaddy)
Shans/ Shan State
24 May 2010
Lt-Gen Ye Myint helds meeting with 171st military Region leaderlast week. Inquired about Wa preparations for war. Since tensionsbegan, there are 8 international aid agencies in Wa areas. WorldFood Program (WFP) is not among them. (DVB)
3 June 2010
A week after its registration was approved, Shan NationalDemocratic Party (SNDP) opens office in Rangoon and Kyaukme. Otherbranch offices will be opened later, (SHAN) Branch offices inNamkham and Muse opened on 9-10 June respectively –Editor
6 June 2010
The UEC announces it has granted registration to 28 parties out ofa total 32 applicants. There are 8 parties from Shan State:
Kayan National Party
Kokang Democracy and Unity Party
Inn National Development Party
Lahu National Development Party
PaO National Organization
Shan Nationalities Democratic Party
Ta-ang (Palaung) National Party
Wa National Unity Party (Mizzima/ SHAN) Wa Democratic Partyapproved later – Editor
7 June 2010
A Wa official says 35 education workers who left Panghsang duringthe crisis returned on 3 June. Health workers however have yet toreturn leaving their health centers without care. (DVB)
10 June 2010
It has some 320 members in two townships, Muse and Namkham alone,say sources from Shan Nationalities Democratic Party (SNDP). Theparty will have to prove that it has at least 1,000 members by24-25 August or face deregistration. (SHAN)
Economy/ Business
31 May 2010
Junta has granted licenses to establish private banks to 4businessmen:
TayZaAsia Green
Zaw ZawIrrawaddy
Nay AungAmara
Chit KhaingMyanma Leading
Two other applicants not granted: Tun Myint Naing and Dr Sai HsamTun. (Irrawaddy)
1 June 2010
Weekly Myanmar Post says Aung Ko Win, close to # 2 Maung Aye, hasformed a domestic Air Inlay airline to compete with Air Bagan ofTay Za, close to # 1 Than Shwe. (Irrawaddy)
2 June 2010
Burma’s workers form the first free trade union since 1962, led byU Pa Lay. (RFA)
3 June 2010
Two months after the Union of Myanmar Economic Holdings limited(UMEHL) took over the Five Star line on 1 April, at least 550sailors out of a total 1,227 have submitted resignations to seekbetter pay. The new pay scale, $750-$ 5,000, is not accepted by theseamen. (Mizzima)
3 June 2010
Fire destroys Monywa market. (Mizzima)
4 June 2010
5 state-owned buildings have been sold to private investorsincluding:
NationalLibraryK 100 million
MRTVcomplexK 130 billion
YadanaponTheater K 920million (Irrawaddy)
5 June 2010
The study by Sean Turnell of Macquarie University in Sydney saysthe per capita GDP in Burma, already among the lowest, isdeclining. Basic elements necessary for economic health anddevelopment remain missing:
Lack of protection for private property
Lack of business freedom
Dysfunctional infrastructure
Irrational and inconsistent policy making (Irrawaddy)
6 June 2010
United States Institute of Peace think tank report, “the Economy ofBurma on the Eve of 2010 Elections,” written by Lex Rieffel,says
Most of the economic data published by the military regime isunreliable or simply a fiction
Insurgencies and sanctions are not the main reasons for the poorperformance of Burma’s economy
Misguided policies, compounded by extraordinary neglect ofeducation and health sectors, have deprived the economy of basicfoundations for sustainable improvements
Almost 30% of the national budget is allocated to the armed forces(Irrawaddy)
8 June 2010
Following a claim by the police that bombers had used mobile phonesto trigger a series of blasts on 15 April in Rangoon, Sim-cardsales is down to almost 50% according to retailers. (Irrawaddy)
Human Rights
31 May 2010
Myanmar Writers and Journalists Association issues statementcondemning actress Htet Htet Moe Oo for behaving rudely towards 7Days News Journal reporter Aye Thu San. (Mizzima)
2 June 2010
Tin Min Naing, a boy who refused to join the army, shot and stabbedto death in Pyundaza, Pegu division, on 16 May. (DVB)
4 June 2010
0.4% of national budget is for healthcare and 0.5% is spent foreducation, The International Institute for Strategic Studies, basedin London, reported in 2007. For the military, it was nearly 30%.(Irrawaddy)
6 June 2010
ILO calls for release of 6 people who have been imprisoned for upto 18 months after they sought the help of the agency’s office inthe country. Use of forced labor by civilian authorities in someareas is reducing but no change by the military, says SteveMarshall, Liaison officer for ILO in Burma. (AFP)
8 June 2010
Slovakia becomes 4th government to support formation of UNCommission of Inquiry into alleged crimes against humanity inBurma. Others are Australia, Czech and UK. US also gives noticethat Washington is considering adding its name. A commission ofinquiry was established in 2004 to investigate crimes againsthumanity allegations in Sudanese Darfur. (Mizzima)
War
2 June 2010
Key files and other information smuggled out by defecting Major SaiThein Win and shown to expert Geoff Forden say Burma is still alongway from reaching its nuclear goals. (Al Jazeera)
4 June 2010
Burma’s nuclear plans exposed in a documentary produced by DVB andaired by Al Jazeera. (Al Jazeera)
4 June 2010
The 4-monthly meeting held last week increased defense budgetsignificantly from last year. The amount is unavailable.
There was no major military reshuffle. (Irrawaddy)
7 June 2010
Yukiya Amano, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency(IAEA) says his Vienna-based body may ask for clarification on thereport that Burma’s junta is aiming to develop nuclear program fromMyanmar “if necessary.” (Reuters)
9 June 2010
DKBA’s Brigade 5 says the Burma Army’s Military Operations Command# 8 commander Brig Gen Than Soe has set 8 August as the newdeadline for BGF in a letter. He also warns DKBA that the regimewill use force if it refuses to accept the order. (Irrawaddy)
9 June 2010
Following Sai Thein Win’s defection, War Office has issuedinstructions to collect all leaked documents and photographs. TheinWin is said to have personal relations with Maj Gen Thein Htay,deputy chief of Defense Industries.
Top leaders are now more worried about internal unity within thearmy than how it is perceived by the outside world, according to asource close to Naypyitaw.
As many as 200 officers have defected the past few years. Majorfactors:
Lack of connections with leadership
Rigid bureaucracy
Low pay (Irrawaddy)
9 June 2010
Video footage popular among soldiers so far:
Diamond Studded Night, about Than Shwe’s daughter’swedding
On underground tunnels 2009
On nuclear program (Agencies)
11 June 2010
Foreign ministry denies it is developing a nuclear weapons program.“Information provided by army deserters, defectors and dissidentswhich are inaccurate, unfair and unreliable.” (Agencies)
Obituary
31 May 2010
Gen Aung Than Lay of Karenni National Progressive Party who hadfought Rangoon since 1948 passes away at the age of 81. (Pressrelease)
